It's always interesting for me to compare FOTO's prediction process with outside research that highlights factors that predict outcomes. Although FOTO does not predict return to work, I find this current abstract interesting. Just like FOTO, the below abstract indicates: the higher the severity of the injury, the longer the road of recovery. Interestingly, the research in this study points to a factor I haven't considered as a variable in return to work: occupational skill level. The lower the skill level, the longer for the person to return to work.
On the flip side, the positive factors associated with a quicker return to work revolved around good pre-injury health and working full-time prior to the motor vehicle accident. As more and more musculoskeletal research is finding, a person's expectations play a role in outcomes. In this study, the individuals who expected to return to usual activities within 90 days had quicker recovery.
I wonder why legal representation didn't affect the time to return to work? Maybe the system in Australia is different than here in the United States.
Here's the abstract for quick viewing.
Work disability following motor vehicle related orthopaedic trauma is a significant contributor to the burden of injury and disease. Early identification of predictors for return to work (RTW) is essential for developing effective interventions to prevent work disability. The study aim was to determine the predictors (including compensation related factors) of time to RTW following motor vehicle related orthopaedic trauma.
Admitted patients were recruited prospectively from two trauma hospitals with upper and/or lower extremity fractures following a motor vehicle crash. Baseline and follow up data were collected by written questionnaire. For baseline, this occurred in person within 2 weeks of injury. For follow up, this occurred by mail at six, 12 and 24 months. Additional demographic and injury-related information was retrieved from hospital databases. Analysis involved: descriptive statistics; logrank test to detect survival distributions of categorical variables; and Cox proportional hazards regression models for risks of time to RTW using baseline characteristic and compensation related variables (at 6 months).
Of 452 study participants 334 (74%) were working pre-injury: results are based on this subset. Baseline characteristics were mean age 36 years (13.9 Standard Deviation [SD]), 80% male; 72% self-assessed very good-excellent pre-injury health, 83% household income > AU$40,000 (Australian Dollar). Follow up data was available for 233 (70%), 210 (63%), and 182 (54%) participants at six, 12 and 24 months respectively. Significant risks of a longer time to RTW were greater injury severity, as measured by the New Injury Severity Score (NISS) (Hazards Rate Ratio [HRR] = 0.54, 95% CI 0.35-0.82); and lower occupational skill levels (HRR = 0.53, 95% CI 0.34-0.83). Significant risks of a shorter time to RTW were: recovery expectations for usual activities within 90 days (HRR = 2.10, 95% CI 1.49-2.95); full-time pre-injury work hours (HRR = 1.99, 95% CI 1.26-3.14); and very good self-assessed pre-injury health status (HRR = 1.41, 95% CI 0.98-2.02). Legal representation (analysed at six months only) was not associated with time to RTW. At each time period, there were 146 (63%), 149 (71%), and 137 (76%) working participants.
A longer time to RTW was associated with greater injury severity and lower occupational skill levels; while a shorter time to RTW was associated with recovery expectations for usual activities within 90 days, full-time pre-injury work hours, and very good self-assessed pre-injury health status. Our findings reinforce existing research. There is an opportunity to trial interventions that address potentially modifiable factors. The issues surrounding legal representation are complex and require further research.
BMC Musculoskelet Disord. 2016 Apr 19;17:171. doi: 10.1186/s12891-016-1019-6.